Observations from a Ukrainian on Potential Threats to Taiwan
This article presents observations from Claude, a Ukrainian citizen, regarding potential warning signs of impending conflict, drawing parallels between the situation in Ukraine before the war and the current situation in Taiwan. Claude emphasizes that governments and media outlets may not always directly warn the public about imminent threats, and urges individuals to be vigilant and prepared.
Three Warning Signs
Claude outlines three key events that, in retrospect, signaled the coming conflict in Ukraine. He suggests that observing similar patterns in Taiwan could indicate an increased risk of invasion.
1. Departure of Diplomatic Personnel
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Claude notes that before the war in Ukraine, U.S. diplomats began leaving for countries like Canada and Australia. While Ukrainian officials downplayed the significance, this exodus suggested an awareness of impending danger.
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He recognizes that Taiwan's limited diplomatic relationships might make a similar large-scale embassy evacuation difficult. However, he suggests monitoring the families of personnel in American and European offices (which function similarly to embassies) for signs of departure. If these families start leaving, it should be considered a serious warning sign.
2. Changes in Airline Operations
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Claude recalls that as the situation in Ukraine deteriorated, airlines began halting flights to the country. He emphasizes that operating airplanes is very expensive, and airlines do not suspend operations without a strong reason. The suspension of airline traffic in Taiwan should be viewed as an ominous signal.
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Claude notes that some airlines, even when the situation became dangerous in Ukraine, continued to fly in. If the airlines stop flying to Taiwan, prepare for the worst.
3. Sale of Businesses and Assets by Certain Individuals
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Claude describes how, in Ukraine, individuals with connections to Russia began selling their businesses and assets before the war. These individuals, who were Russian hairdressers that had relations with Russian LLCs, sold their business in Ukraine seven months prior to the start of the war.
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He suggests looking for similar patterns in Taiwan, specifically if individuals with close ties to China are selling off their assets and businesses. Lawyers, rich, or famous people coming from China and selling off all their assets in Taiwan. If this is observed, it could indicate that these individuals are aware of an impending conflict.
Importance of Individual Preparedness
Claude stresses that governments may have reasons for not explicitly warning the public about potential invasions, such as avoiding panic or mass exodus. Because of this, it's up to each individual to stay vigilant, monitor events, and prepare accordingly.
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He understands the difficult decisions people would have to make, such as leaving their home, but maintains that everyone's life and health are the most important.
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He hopes that by sharing these observations, he can empower individuals to think critically, prepare for potential threats, and make informed decisions to protect themselves and their families.
Final Thoughts
Claude encourages viewers to share this video to raise awareness and help others recognize these potential warning signs. He believes that collective awareness and preparedness are crucial in mitigating the potential consequences of conflict.
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