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Melbourne Property Investment: Is It Worth It? Rental Yields & Future Growth (2024)

Summary

Quick Abstract

Is Melbourne property investment still viable despite low rental yields? This summary explores the underlying reasons behind Melbourne's surprisingly strong property market, even with its notoriously low rental yields, and whether future rent increases are likely. We'll unpack the economics of "rental yield" and discuss what factors make Melbourne unique.

Quick Takeaways:

  • Melbourne's rental yields are significantly lower (2-3%) compared to other Australian cities (4-5%).

  • Landlord exodus due to increased taxes (like land tax and vacancy tax) has impacted the rental market.

  • Strong population growth and the fundamental human desire for homeownership drive property demand.

  • Melbourne's ease of developing high-density housing impacts rental prices, creating competition.

  • Cash flow is crucial; consider alternative investment options in Melbourne if needed.

  • Independent houses with land offer better long-term value than apartments.

Understand the key drivers influencing Melbourne's property market and make informed investment decisions. Discover whether chasing cash flow or capital growth is the right strategy for you.

Understanding the Melbourne Property Investment Landscape

Many investors find that rental income in Melbourne covers less than 3% of the property's value annually, resulting in a low rental yield, often around 2-3%. It can be difficult to recoup costs through rent alone, potentially requiring investors to supplement mortgage payments. Surprisingly, many are still drawn to invest in Melbourne, with rising property values in some areas. This article will explore the underlying logic behind this trend and the future prospects of Melbourne's rental market.

Cross-State Investment Comparisons

Investors who have experience investing across different Australian states understand the disparities in rental yields. A property worth $1 million might generate weekly rent of $800 to $1,000 in cities like Brisbane, Perth, or Adelaide, resulting in a rental yield of approximately 5%. In contrast, a similar property in Melbourne might only yield around $500 per week, a significant difference. This has led to news reports of investors leaving Melbourne in recent years.

Rental Yield (Rental Yield) Explained

Rental yield, also known as rental return, is calculated by dividing the annual rental income by the property's purchase price. For instance, if a property generates $25,000 in annual rent and was purchased for $1 million, the rental yield is 2.5% ($25,000 / $1,000,000 = 0.025). While some areas offer rental yields of 4-5% or even higher, Melbourne's typically falls between 2-3%.

Factors Contributing to Low Rental Yields in Melbourne

A low rental yield is caused by high property prices, low rental income or both. Recently, many landlords left the Melbourne rental market, partly due to increased taxes imposed by the Victorian government due to fiscal deficits. A significant change was the reduction of the land tax threshold to $50,000, meaning that even apartment owners became subject to this tax. Additionally, Victoria has implemented a vacant property tax, applying to a broader range of areas. These measures have discouraged some investors.

One example is a client who owned an older property in Victoria that barely generated rental income and required ongoing financial contributions. The added tax burden proved to be the final straw, prompting the client to sell the property. While the sale didn't result in an apparent loss, it didn't account for the annual holding costs, resulting in a slight loss.

The Enduring Appeal of Melbourne Property

Despite low rental yields, Melbourne's property market remains attractive. There is the desire for homeownership. Melbourne's growing population, fueled by immigration (approximately 130,000 people between 2023 and 2024), drives demand for housing.

Challenges to Rental Increases in Melbourne

Raising rents can be challenging for Melbourne landlords, especially for houses. Melbourne facilitates the development of units, villas, townhouses, and apartments, leading to a large supply of these types of dwellings. Areas like Docklands have seen thousands of apartments enter the market. The Victorian government continues to release development land near transport hubs to accommodate population growth, often favoring high-density apartments and medium-density townhouses.

This creates a competitive rental market where tenants prioritize factors like the number of rooms, the property's condition, and ease of maintenance over the size of the land. A tenant is more likely to choose a new apartment renting for $500 over a $800 stand alone house that requires lawn and pool care. Consequently, landlords may struggle to command higher rents, sometimes needing to offer lower prices than newer developments. One individual mentioned owning older, larger homes in Melbourne that have not seen rental increases, and are difficult to rent.

Investment Strategies for Melbourne

If the primary goal is cash flow, Melbourne might not be the most suitable market. Exploring alternative investments like commercial properties or rooming houses may be more beneficial. Another option involves adding a granny flat to an existing property to increase rental income. However, the cost of such additions needs to be carefully considered against other potential investments.

Melbourne can be a good time to enter the market if you have a good income. If your cash flow requires calculating every penny, then you need to be cautious. Apartment-like products do not have much value-added value.

If considering an investment in Melbourne, a standalone house with a desirable land size might be a better long-term strategy. For those seeking professional assistance, buyer's agent services can help navigate the market and develop an overall Australian property investment portfolio. Finally, you can receive a report with areas in Melbourne that are worth paying attention to.

How do you see the future of the Melbourne market? How much are you willing to accept the Melbourne rental return? Please discuss it in the comment area. Also remember to subscribe to our channel, so you will not miss the video that will help you make a fortune in the future.

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