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Investing Beyond the AI Hype: Terry Doyle's Tech Investment Strategy

Summary

Quick Abstract

Venture capitalist Terry Doyle shares invaluable insights on technology investing gleaned from decades of experience, including navigating dot-com crashes and the mobile revolution. Learn how to avoid hype-driven investments and identify groundbreaking opportunities by focusing on fundamental societal shifts.

Quick Takeaways:

  • Invest when others aren't; avoid crowded "hype curve" investments.

  • Age isn't a measure of intelligence; look for founders without pre-conceived notions.

  • Focus on Horizon 3: Early investments in potentially important technologies with long timelines like quantum security.

  • Encourage a culture that embraces mistakes as learning opportunities.

  • Back founders who demonstrate problem-solving tenacity, more than just ideas or markets.

  • Find great founders tackling significant problems; connect them with capital.

  • Investing is about uniting capital and smart people to solve problems.

Discover how TELUS Global Ventures approaches corporate venturing, emphasizing commercial deals and groundbreaking technology like AI-driven search optimization with Clinia. The key to success is identifying individuals with the drive to solve difficult problems and creating an environment where innovation thrives.

Terry Doyle, Managing Partner of TELUS Global Ventures, shares insights gained from investing in technology companies since 1999. His experiences through various technology cycles, including the dot-com crash, have shaped his investment philosophy.

The Importance of Timing and Avoiding the Hype Curve

Doyle emphasizes the significance of timing in investing. He believes that the best opportunities arise when investment is low, rather than during periods of widespread hype. "You want to invest when nobody else is investing," he states. Observing market cycles allows one to avoid being caught in investment bubbles.

TELUS Global Ventures: A Corporate Venturing Arm

TELUS Global Ventures operates as the corporate venturing arm of TELUS, a Canadian-headquartered global technology and services business. The company has a portfolio of approximately 90 companies, with about 60% having commercial deals with TELUS. Last year, they conducted around $34 million in business with their portfolio companies.

Valuing Perspective Over Experience

Doyle stresses that age and experience are not necessarily indicators of intelligence or innovative potential. He's found that sometimes, experience can create preconceived notions that limit creativity.

Overcoming Assumptions and Bias

  • Often, experienced individuals develop fixed ideas based on past experiences.

  • Doyle notes that companies like Google invest significant effort in preventing employees from making assumptions.

  • Breaking free from biases allows for genuine innovation and breakthroughs.

Investment in AI-Driven Solutions: Clinia Example

TELUS Global Ventures has invested in companies like Clinia, which has developed an AI-driven optimized search for enterprise customers. This investment has changed the way TELUS thinks about data utilization, ultimately improving patient outcomes. Clinia helps providers give better outcomes to patients. This has influenced both TELUS's internal operations and how its customers view their own data and businesses.

Spotting Societal Shifts and Horizon Investing

A good investor recognizes fundamental shifts in society. Drawing on McKinsey's "Horizon" framework, Doyle describes three investment horizons:

  • Horizon 1: Technologies ready for immediate use.

  • Horizon 2: Technologies in development.

  • Horizon 3: Technologies in the distant future, more akin to fundamental science.

Investing in Quantum Security

TELUS Global Ventures sometimes invests in Horizon 3 companies, even if the business doesn't immediately see the opportunity. Quantum security is a prime example, where the company anticipates future threats and invests early to gain knowledge and prepare for potential commercial applications down the line, even if commercialization is 5-6 years away.

Embracing Mistakes and Fostering Innovation

Doyle encourages his team to embrace the inevitability of mistakes. He emphasizes the importance of:

  1. Acknowledging mistakes.
  2. Fixing mistakes.
  3. Avoiding repeating mistakes.

Creating a culture where mistakes are viewed as learning opportunities fosters a more innovative and less risk-averse environment. This empowers the team to explore options and push the boundaries of technology.

Investing in the Individual: The Founder's Qualities

Doyle believes that the individual, specifically the founder, is the most important factor in investment decisions. He looks for individuals who:

  • Demonstrate strong problem-solving abilities.

  • Persistently work at challenges, even without immediate progress.

  • Possess a level of stubbornness necessary to tackle significant problems.

Ultimately, the goal is to connect smart individuals with the resources to solve significant problems. Helping founders advance on their journey is what he finds most rewarding.

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